Match details. National League, Championship Group - 6. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at David Farrington Park, Wellington.
What's at stake. Miramar Rangers are 3rd on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Auckland City, 1 point clear of Birkenhead United. A win would take them above Auckland City. Wellington Olympic are 6th on 7 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Auckland United, level on points with Napier City Rovers. A win would take them above Auckland United.
Form. Miramar Rangers have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Wellington Olympic have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. Miramar Rangers score three and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wellington Olympic score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Miramar Rangers have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Miramar Rangers won one and Wellington Olympic won three. The last time they met, on 6 Dec 2025, it finished Miramar Rangers 1-2 Wellington Olympic.
The case against. Miramar Rangers's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Wellington Olympic to win. An open game. Wellington Olympic are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wellington Olympic; the meetings favour Wellington Olympic. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Wellington Olympic are a clear winner, no Unders); Miramar Rangers Under 1.5 goals (Miramar Rangers's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Wellington Olympic are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Miramar Rangers 1-2 Wellington Olympic (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).