NANAC

23:30Fri 30 Oct

VEN

Nacional AC Muriae MG vs Venda Nova FC MG

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Mineiro, Segunda Divisao, Final Group - 2. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Nacional AC Muriae MG are 4th on 0 points after 0 games, 1 point behind Betim 2, level on points with Paracatu. A win would take them above Betim 2. Venda Nova FC MG are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, 2 points clear of Novo Esporte Clube.

Form. Nacional AC Muriae MG have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. Venda Nova FC MG have won four, drawn two and lost none of their last six league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W D W.

The numbers. Nacional AC Muriae MG score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nacional AC Muriae MG average 12.0 shots (4.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Venda Nova FC MG score 2.5 and concede 0.3 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets. Venda Nova FC MG average 14.2 shots (7.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Nacional AC Muriae MG 1-1 Venda Nova FC MG.

The case against. Nacional AC Muriae MG's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. Venda Nova FC MG to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Venda Nova FC MG the likelier winners; Venda Nova FC MG are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Nacional AC Muriae MG 1-2 Venda Nova FC MG (10% chance).

The agreed story. Venda Nova FC MG or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Venda Nova FC MG or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VEN 4 of 6 (67%) · NAC 4 of 5 (80%)71%

Venda Nova FC MG: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional AC Muriae MG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 63% · Nacional AC Muriae MG: only games against sides at Venda Nova FC MG's level

Double Chance: Draw or Venda Nova FC MGLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

VEN 6 of 6 (100%) · NAC 2 of 5 (40%)70%

Venda Nova FC MG unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional AC Muriae MG failed to win 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Nacional AC Muriae MG: only games against sides at Venda Nova FC MG's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · VEN 5 of 6 (83%)88.3%

Nacional AC Muriae MG: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Venda Nova FC MG: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Nacional AC Muriae MG: only games against sides at Venda Nova FC MG's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · VEN 4 of 6 (67%)77.7%

Nacional AC Muriae MG: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Venda Nova FC MG: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Nacional AC Muriae MG: only games against sides at Venda Nova FC MG's level

VENDA NOVA FC MG GOALS

Venda Nova FC MG Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VEN 5 of 6 (83%) · NAC 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%

Venda Nova FC MG scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional AC Muriae MG conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · Nacional AC Muriae MG: only games against sides at Venda Nova FC MG's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Venda Nova FC MG or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.8%

Nacional AC Muriae MG goals →

Venda Nova FC MG goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-112%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-43%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.9%

1-50.9%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

NACIONAL AC MURIAE MGWDLDWWWLDD1.60 PPG

VENDA NOVA FC MGWWDWDW2.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NACIONAL AC MURIAE MG HOMExVENDA NOVA FC MG AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME2.500.90CONCEDED A GAME0.3340%CLEAN SHEETS67%33%FAILED TO SCORE17%2.67CORNERS A GAME3.754.00CARDS A GAME2.75

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

NACIONAL AC MURIAE MG 0 · 0%DRAW 1VENDA NOVA FC MG 0 · 0%

2026-10-17Nacional AC Muriae MG 1 – 1 Venda Nova FC MG

TRENDS

Nacional AC Muriae MG have scored in 60% of their games.

Venda Nova FC MG have scored in 83% of their games.

Nacional AC Muriae MG kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Venda Nova FC MG kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards