SJSAO

22:30Fri 30 Oct

NOV

Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG vs Novo Esporte MG

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Mineiro, Segunda Divisao, Final Group - 2. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 22:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG are 6th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Paracatu. A win would take them above Paracatu. Novo Esporte MG are 2nd on 1 point after 1 game, 2 points behind Venda Nova, level on points with Betim 2. A win would take them above Venda Nova.

Form. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG have won three, drawn none and lost three of their last six league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W L L. Novo Esporte MG have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.

The numbers. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Novo Esporte MG score 2.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Novo Esporte MG average 4.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.

The case against. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's record still gives them 40% to win.

The read. Novo Esporte MG to win. Their goals for and against make Novo Esporte MG the likelier winners; Novo Esporte MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Novo Esporte MG.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG 1-2 Novo Esporte MG (10% chance).

The agreed story. Novo Esporte MG or the draw, goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAO 6 of 6 (100%) · NOV 8 of 10 (80%)90%

Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Novo Esporte MG: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Novo Esporte MG: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAO 5 of 6 (83%) · NOV 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%

Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Novo Esporte MG: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Novo Esporte MG: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.7%

Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG goals →

Novo Esporte MG goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-36%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.7%

1-50.8%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SAO JOAO DEL REI EC MGWLLWWL1.50 PPG

NOVO ESPORTE MGWLLDWLDWWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SAO JOAO DEL REI EC MG HOMExNOVO ESPORTE MG AWAY

1.17SCORED A GAME2.900.67CONCEDED A GAME1.1033%CLEAN SHEETS40%50%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.75CORNERS A GAME4.673.50CARDS A GAME3.33

TRENDS

Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG have scored in 50% of their games.

Novo Esporte MG have scored in 50% of their games.

Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games.

Novo Esporte MG kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards