AD San Juan Pamplona vs Doneztebe Ft
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 15. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. AD San Juan Pamplona have won three, drawn two and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L W D. Doneztebe Ft have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. AD San Juan Pamplona score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AD San Juan Pamplona average 12.7 shots (4.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Doneztebe Ft score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Doneztebe Ft average 13.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AD San Juan Pamplona 1-1 Doneztebe Ft (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AD San Juan Pamplona the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).