Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. FK Kokand 1912 have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Qizilqum Zarafshon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.
The numbers. FK Kokand 1912 score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Kokand 1912 average 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Qizilqum Zarafshon score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Qizilqum Zarafshon average 2.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 72% on the records (FK Kokand 1912: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Qizilqum Zarafshon: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Qizilqum Zarafshon Over 0.5 Goals at 1.57. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Qizilqum Zarafshon or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Kokand 1912 Under 1.5 goals (FK Kokand 1912's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Kokand 1912 1-1 Qizilqum Zarafshon (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).