AAACA

14:30Sat 31 Oct

ASD

AC Afragolese vs Asd Aranova

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group G, Group G - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AC Afragolese are 12th on 11 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Città di Anagni, 1 point clear of Gelbison. A win would take them above Città di Anagni. Asd Aranova are 4th on 15 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Certosa V. Campagnano, level on points with Trastevere. A win would take them above Certosa V. Campagnano.

Form. AC Afragolese have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. Asd Aranova have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.

The numbers. AC Afragolese score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and seven games without a goal. AC Afragolese average 10.6 shots (4.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Asd Aranova score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Asd Aranova average 8.0 shots (3.5 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Aranova or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Asd Aranova Over 0.5 Goals (AC Afragolese's own games don't back it (3 of 9)). Predicted score: AC Afragolese 1-1 Asd Aranova (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACA 9 of 9 (100%) · ASD 8 of 9 (89%)94.3%

AC Afragolese: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Aranova: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Asd Aranova's level · Asd Aranova: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACA 9 of 9 (100%) · ASD 8 of 9 (89%)86.2%

AC Afragolese: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Aranova: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Asd Aranova's level · Asd Aranova: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACA 6 of 9 (67%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)71.3%

AC Afragolese: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Asd Aranova: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · AC Afragolese: only games against sides at Asd Aranova's level · Asd Aranova: only games against sides at AC Afragolese's level

Left off the list: Asd Aranova or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Asd Aranova Over 0.5 Goals (AC Afragolese's own games don't back it (3 of 9))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

AC Afragolese goals →

Asd Aranova goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

AC AFRAGOLESELDDDWLLDWD1.10 PPG

ASD ARANOVALDDWLDLWWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC AFRAGOLESE HOMExASD ARANOVA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS30%67%FAILED TO SCORE11%3.20CORNERS A GAME3.501.80CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.22POINTS A GAME2.00+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES5

Asd Aranova: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC AFRAGOLESE OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

ASD ARANOVA OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC AFRAGOLESExASD ARANOVA

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%0%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Afragolese have scored in 30% of their games.

Asd Aranova have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Afragolese kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Asd Aranova kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards