Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 3, Group 3 - 9. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Selaya FC are 12th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Guarnizo, 1 point clear of Atlético Albericia. A win would take them above Guarnizo. CD Cayon are 5th on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with Bezana, 1 point clear of Vimenor. A win would take them above Bezana.
Form. Selaya FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. CD Cayon have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Selaya FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Selaya FC average 6.0 shots (2.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CD Cayon score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. CD Cayon average 6.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. CD Cayon have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Selaya FC 0-2 CD Cayon.
The case against. Selaya FC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. CD Cayon to win. A tight game. CD Cayon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cayon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Cayon at 1.34, 72% on the records (CD Cayon unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Selaya FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25 (80%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Cayon to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Selaya FC 0-1 CD Cayon (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).