Leicester City U21 vs Sporting Lisbon B
Match details. U21 Premier League International Cup, Group Stage. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at LCFC Training Ground, Seagrave.
Form. Leicester City U21 have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition Leicester City U21 have gone L. Sporting Lisbon B have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Sporting Lisbon B have gone W.
The numbers. Leicester City U21 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sporting Lisbon B score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sporting Lisbon B average 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The case against. Leicester City U21's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Sporting Lisbon B to win. Sporting Lisbon B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Lisbon B.
The bets. Best bet: Sporting Lisbon B (Draw No Bet) at 1.74, 73% on the records (Sporting Lisbon B won 4 of 5 away (draws left out); Leicester City U21 lost 6 of 9 (draws left out)). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sporting Lisbon B to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Leicester City U21 0-1 Sporting Lisbon B (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).