FC Elva vs JK Tallinna Kalev
Match details. Esiliiga, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nike Arena, Elva.
What's at stake. FC Elva are 5th on 51 points after 34 games, level on points with FCI Levadia II, 6 points clear of Maardu. A win would take them above FCI Levadia II. JK Tallinna Kalev are 7th on 40 points after 33 games, 5 points behind Maardu, 2 points clear of FC Tallinn. FC Elva have nothing left to play for. JK Tallinna Kalev have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Elva have won three, drawn four and lost two of their last nine, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition FC Elva have gone D D L D W L. JK Tallinna Kalev have won one, drawn two and lost six of their last nine, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition JK Tallinna Kalev have gone W L L L D L.
The numbers. FC Elva score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Elva average 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. JK Tallinna Kalev score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets. JK Tallinna Kalev average 6.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings FC Elva have won two, drawn none and lost four. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Elva won two and JK Tallinna Kalev won two. The last time they met, on 24 Sep 2026, it finished FC Elva 3-2 JK Tallinna Kalev.
The case against. JK Tallinna Kalev's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. FC Elva to win. An open game. FC Elva are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Elva. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.31, 71% on the records (FC Elva: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 9; JK Tallinna Kalev: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); JK Tallinna Kalev or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FC Elva); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Elva 2-1 JK Tallinna Kalev (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).