Match details. Superleague, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. Spartak Moscow have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara average 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Spartak Moscow score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Spartak Moscow average 5.8 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The case against. Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Spartak Moscow to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Spartak Moscow the likelier winners; Spartak Moscow are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spartak Moscow. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Spartak Moscow or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Spartak Moscow or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara 0-1 Spartak Moscow (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).