Match details. Championship League. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Songea United have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Transit Camp FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Songea United score 0.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Songea United average 5.2 shots (1.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Transit Camp FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Transit Camp FC average 6.2 shots (2.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Songea United's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Transit Camp FC to win. A tight game. Transit Camp FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Transit Camp FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Transit Camp FC at 1.36, 78% on the records (Transit Camp FC unbeaten in 7 of 10; Songea United failed to win 5 of 6 at home). Leave: Transit Camp FC Over 0.5 Goals (Songea United's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Songea United 0-1 Transit Camp FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).