Match details. Second Division, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Rawdhah are 11th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Al Hada, level on points with Al Rayan. A win would take them above Al Hada. AL Lewaa Club are 27th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Al Nairyah, level on points with Afif. A win would take them above Al Nairyah.
Form. AL Rawdhah have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. In this competition AL Rawdhah have gone D W L L L L. AL Lewaa Club have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. In this competition AL Lewaa Club have gone L D W W D D.
The numbers. AL Rawdhah score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Lewaa Club score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets.
The read. AL Lewaa Club to win. An open game. AL Lewaa Club are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Lewaa Club. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or AL Lewaa Club at 1.45, 83% on the records (AL Lewaa Club unbeaten in 5 of 6 away; AL Rawdhah failed to win 8 of 10). Full cover: AL Rawdhah Over 0.5 Goals at 1.23. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: AL Lewaa Club or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AL Rawdhah Under 1.5 goals (AL Lewaa Club's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); AL Lewaa Club or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AL Rawdhah 1-2 AL Lewaa Club (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).