Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Group 3, Group 3 - 30. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FK Orel are 13th on 23 points after 22 games, level on points with Zenit Penza, 9 points clear of Rotor-2. A win would take them above Zenit Penza. Rodina-3 Moscow are 9th on 28 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Avangard Kursk, 3 points clear of Strogino. A win would take them above Avangard Kursk.
Form. FK Orel have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition FK Orel have gone W D L W W L. Rodina-3 Moscow have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Rodina-3 Moscow have gone W L W W W W.
The numbers. FK Orel score 0.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. FK Orel average 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Rodina-3 Moscow score 2.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Rodina-3 Moscow average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings FK Orel have won one, drawn one and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2026, it finished FK Orel 1-0 Rodina-3 Moscow.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. FK Orel's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Rodina-3 Moscow to win. Their goals for and against make Rodina-3 Moscow the likelier winners; Rodina-3 Moscow are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rodina-3 Moscow.
The bets. Best bet: Rodina-3 Moscow (Draw No Bet) at 1.27, 80% on the records (Rodina-3 Moscow won 5 of 5 away (draws left out); FK Orel lost 6 of 9 (draws left out)). Predicted score: FK Orel 0-1 Rodina-3 Moscow (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).