Czarni Sosnowiec vs Pogon Szczecin
Match details. Ekstraliga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:45 Lagos time.
Form. Czarni Sosnowiec have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Pogon Szczecin have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. Czarni Sosnowiec score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Czarni Sosnowiec average 12.9 shots (4.6 on target), 7.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Pogon Szczecin score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Pogon Szczecin average 12.4 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: Pogon Szczecin are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pogon Szczecin the likelier winners; Pogon Szczecin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pogon Szczecin. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pogon Szczecin Over 0.5 Goals (Czarni Sosnowiec's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Czarni Sosnowiec 1-2 Pogon Szczecin (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).