Dinamo Moscow vs FK Zenit St. Petersburg
Match details. MFL, Division A. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Dinamo Moscow have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. FK Zenit St. Petersburg have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Dinamo Moscow score 1.9 and concede 2.1 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Dinamo Moscow average 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FK Zenit St. Petersburg score 2.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. FK Zenit St. Petersburg average 7.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Dinamo Moscow's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. FK Zenit St. Petersburg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Zenit St. Petersburg the likelier winners; FK Zenit St. Petersburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Zenit St. Petersburg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 98%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Dinamo Moscow or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FK Zenit St. Petersburg); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dinamo Moscow 1-2 FK Zenit St. Petersburg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).