PORTUGAL - LIGA PORTUGAL 3
21:00Fri 30 Oct
FCP
FP
AD Fafe vs FC Pacos Ferreira
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Liga Portugal 3, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
What's at stake. AD Fafe are 3rd on 10 points after 7 games, 4 points behind Atlético CP. FC Pacos Ferreira are 8th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Caldas. A win would take them above Caldas.
Form. AD Fafe have won two, drawn four and lost one of their last seven, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition AD Fafe have gone D D L W D W. FC Pacos Ferreira have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition FC Pacos Ferreira have gone W W D D L L.
The numbers. AD Fafe score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Pacos Ferreira score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets.
The case against. FC Pacos Ferreira's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. AD Fafe to win. Their goals for and against make AD Fafe the likelier winners; AD Fafe are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AD Fafe 1-0 FC Pacos Ferreira (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Fafe or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
Double Chance: AD Fafe or DrawIN CODES
1.21
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · FCP 5 of 7 (71%)72.3%
AD Fafe unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira failed to win 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
AD Fafe or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · FCP 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
AD Fafe or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 4 of 7 (57%) · FCP 4 of 7 (57%)57.1%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 7 of 7 (100%) · FCP 7 of 7 (100%)95.1%
AD Fafe: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · FCP 7 of 7 (100%)91.9%
AD Fafe: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 7 of 7 (100%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)87.7%
AD Fafe: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.33
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · FCP 4 of 7 (57%)73.9%
AD Fafe: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
AD FAFE GOALS
AD Fafe Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · FCP 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%
AD Fafe scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 7 of 7 (100%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.15
ADF 6 of 7 (86%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.41
ADF 5 of 7 (71%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
AD Fafe: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Pacos Ferreira: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · AD Fafe: only games against sides at FC Pacos Ferreira's level · FC Pacos Ferreira: only games against sides at AD Fafe's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.3%
AD Fafe goals →
FC Pacos Ferreira goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 7
AD FAFEDWDWLDD1.43 PPG
FC PACOS FERREIRALLLDDWW1.14 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD FAFE HOMExFC PACOS FERREIRA AWAY
1.43SCORED A GAME1.000.86CONCEDED A GAME1.4343%CLEAN SHEETS29%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.43POINTS A GAME1.33+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.67LEAGUE GAMES6
AD Fafe: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AD FAFE OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
FC PACOS FERREIRA OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AD FAFExFC PACOS FERREIRA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AD Fafe failed to score in 29% of their games.
FC Pacos Ferreira failed to score in 14% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table