Match details. InT, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at TRC Polo Synthetic Turf Ground, Srinagar.
What's at stake. Real Kashmir are 1st on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Nagaland United. Nagaland United SC are 2nd on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Real Kashmir, level on points with Mohammedan. A win would take them above Real Kashmir.
Form. Real Kashmir have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Real Kashmir have gone W L W W W L. Nagaland United SC have won none, drawn three and lost three of their last six, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. Real Kashmir score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Kashmir average 9.0 shots (1.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Nagaland United SC score 1.2 and concede 2.5 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nagaland United SC average 6.0 shots (3.3 on target), 2.7 corners and 0.3 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
The case against. Nagaland United SC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Real Kashmir to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Real Kashmir the likelier winners; Real Kashmir are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Kashmir. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real Kashmir 2-1 Nagaland United SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).