Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 03:45 Lagos time. It is played at Providence Park, Portland. The referee is Drew Fischer.
What's at stake. Portland Timbers are 11th on 40 points after 32 games, 2 points behind Real Salt Lake, 2 points clear of San Diego. A win would take them above Real Salt Lake. Houston Dynamo are 5th on 51 points after 32 games, level on points with St. Louis City, 4 points clear of Los Angeles FC. A win would take them above St. Louis City.
Team news. Portland Timbers are without A. Bonetig (shoulder injury), B. Bye (leg injury), Z. McGraw (back injury), K. Miller (red card), J. Mosquera (foot injury), T. Muse (concussion). Houston Dynamo are without J. Maurer (back injury), M. Saracchi (lower-body injury), Felipe Andrade (hamstring injury), Guilherme (lower-body injury), H. Herrera (lower-body injury), J. Maurer (back injury).
Form. Portland Timbers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. In this competition Portland Timbers have gone W W D L D L. Houston Dynamo have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D. In this competition Houston Dynamo have gone W D D D D L.
The numbers. Portland Timbers score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Portland Timbers average 15.9 shots (5.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Houston Dynamo score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Houston Dynamo average 10.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Portland Timbers have won three, drawn two and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Portland Timbers won one, one was drawn and Houston Dynamo won two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Portland Timbers 2-3 Houston Dynamo: Portland Timbers had 17 shots to 19, 52% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Houston Dynamo's record still gives them 34% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Portland Timbers or the draw. An open game. Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Houston Dynamo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).