Match details. National League. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Altrincham FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Carlisle United have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Altrincham FC score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Altrincham FC average 5.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Carlisle United score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Carlisle United average 6.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Carlisle United's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Altrincham FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Altrincham FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Altrincham FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Altrincham FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8; Carlisle United: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Leave: Carlisle United or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Altrincham FC); Carlisle United or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Altrincham FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Altrincham FC 2-1 Carlisle United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).