Nanjing City vs Dalian Kun City
Match details. China League 1, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 07:30 Lagos time. It is played at Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing.
What's at stake. Nanjing City are 13th on 28 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Suzhou Dongwu, 1 point clear of Heilongjiang Lava Spring. A win would take them above Suzhou Dongwu. Dalian Kun City are 10th on 34 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Changchun Yatai, 3 points clear of Ningbo Professional. A win would take them above Changchun Yatai. Dalian Kun City have nothing left to play for, while Nanjing City need the win.
Form. Nanjing City have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. In this competition Nanjing City have gone W W D L L L. Dalian Kun City have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition Dalian Kun City have gone W D D L L W.
The numbers. Nanjing City score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Nanjing City average 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Dalian Kun City score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Dalian Kun City average 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. Dalian Kun City have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 11 Jul 2026, it finished Nanjing City 0-2 Dalian Kun City.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 13% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Dalian Kun City are the better side, but not at this price. Dalian Kun City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dalian Kun City; the meetings favour Dalian Kun City.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Dalian Kun City Over 0.5 goals (Dalian Kun City's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Nanjing City 1-1 Dalian Kun City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).