Match details. China League 1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 07:30 Lagos time.
Form. Changchun Yatai have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. Nantong Zhiyun have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Changchun Yatai score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Changchun Yatai average 4.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Nantong Zhiyun score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Nantong Zhiyun average 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 74% on the records (Changchun Yatai: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Nantong Zhiyun: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Nantong Zhiyun or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Nantong Zhiyun or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nantong Zhiyun Over 0.5 goals (Changchun Yatai's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Changchun Yatai 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).