SSSAK

17:00Fri 30 Oct

TAL

Saku Sporting vs Tallinna FC Flora

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Meistriliiga Women. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Saku Sporting have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L L. Tallinna FC Flora have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Saku Sporting score 2.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Saku Sporting average 6.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Tallinna FC Flora score 3.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Tallinna FC Flora average 8.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 49%.

The read. No firm call: Tallinna FC Flora are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tallinna FC Flora the likelier winners; Tallinna FC Flora are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tallinna FC Flora. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Saku Sporting 2-2 Tallinna FC Flora (7% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Tallinna FC Flora the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tallinna FC Flora or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAL 5 of 6 (83%) · SAK 9 of 10 (90%)69.8%

Tallinna FC Flora: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Saku Sporting: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAK 10 of 10 (100%) · TAL 6 of 6 (100%)97%

Saku Sporting: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tallinna FC Flora: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAK 10 of 10 (100%) · TAL 6 of 6 (100%)97%

Saku Sporting: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tallinna FC Flora: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAK 8 of 10 (80%) · TAL 5 of 6 (83%)82.1%

Saku Sporting: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tallinna FC Flora: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAK 7 of 10 (70%) · TAL 4 of 6 (67%)68.2%

Saku Sporting: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tallinna FC Flora: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%

SAKU SPORTING GOALS

Saku Sporting Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAK 9 of 10 (90%) · TAL 5 of 6 (83%)84.4%

Saku Sporting scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tallinna FC Flora conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

TALLINNA FC FLORA GOALS

Tallinna FC Flora Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAL 5 of 6 (83%) · SAK 8 of 10 (80%)82.8%

Tallinna FC Flora scored in 5 of 6 away · Saku Sporting conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Tallinna FC Flora Over 1.5 Goals (Saku Sporting's own games don't back it (3 of 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 7%

Saku Sporting goals →

Tallinna FC Flora goals ↓

0-01%

1-02%

2-02%

3-02%

4-00.9%

5-00.4%

0-12%

1-16%

2-16%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-32%

1-35%

2-36%

3-34%

4-32%

5-30.9%

0-41%

1-43%

2-43%

3-42%

4-41%

5-40.6%

0-50.7%

1-52%

2-52%

3-51%

4-50.6%

5-50.3%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SAKU SPORTINGWWWLLWWDWL1.90 PPG

TALLINNA FC FLORAWLWWWLWWLW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SAKU SPORTING HOMExTALLINNA FC FLORA AWAY

2.74SCORED A GAME3.042.13CONCEDED A GAME1.1770%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.67CORNERS A GAME8.151.33CARDS A GAME1.05

TRENDS

Saku Sporting have scored in 90% of their games.

Tallinna FC Flora have scored in 90% of their games.

Saku Sporting kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Tallinna FC Flora kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards