NIZNIZ

16:50Fri 30 Oct

FAN

FAN

Nizwa vs Fanja

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Sultan Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 16:50 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Nizwa have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Nizwa have gone L L L. Fanja have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W.

The numbers. Nizwa score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Fanja score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Nizwa the likelier winners, but Fanja are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Fanja or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Fanja or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nizwa 1-1 Fanja (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NIZ 6 of 7 (86%) · FAN 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%

Nizwa: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fanja: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Nizwa: only games against sides at Fanja's level · Fanja: only games against sides at Nizwa's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NIZ 5 of 7 (71%) · FAN 6 of 6 (100%)85.7%

Nizwa: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fanja: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Nizwa: only games against sides at Fanja's level · Fanja: only games against sides at Nizwa's level

NIZWA GOALS

Nizwa Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.81

NIZ 4 of 7 (57%) · FAN 4 of 6 (67%)61.9%

Nizwa scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fanja conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Nizwa: only games against sides at Fanja's level · Fanja: only games against sides at Nizwa's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NIZ 7 of 7 (100%) · FAN 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Nizwa: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fanja: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Nizwa: only games against sides at Fanja's level · Fanja: only games against sides at Nizwa's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NIZ 5 of 7 (71%) · FAN 4 of 6 (67%)69%

Nizwa: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fanja: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Nizwa: only games against sides at Fanja's level · Fanja: only games against sides at Nizwa's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Fanja or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Fanja or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Fanja Over 0.5 Goals (Fanja's own games don't back it (2 of 6))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Nizwa goals →

Fanja goals ↓

0-010%

1-012%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NIZWALLWDLDLLLL0.50 PPG

FANJADLLDLWLDWD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NIZWA HOMExFANJA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME0.902.70CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%

TRENDS

Nizwa have scored in 80% of their games.

Fanja have scored in 40% of their games.

Nizwa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Fanja kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets