AMALM

13:50Fri 30 Oct

ALO

AL Musannah SC vs Al Orouba (Oma)

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Sultan Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 13:50 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. AL Musannah SC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. Al Orouba (Oma) have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.

The numbers. AL Musannah SC score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Al Orouba (Oma) score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings AL Musannah SC have won three, drawn three and lost two. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AL Musannah SC won one, two were drawn and Al Orouba (Oma) won one. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2023, it finished AL Musannah SC 1-1 Al Orouba (Oma).

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 43%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%; seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.

The read. No firm call: AL Musannah SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AL Musannah SC the likelier winners; AL Musannah SC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AL Musannah SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Orouba (Oma) or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AL Musannah SC 1-1 Al Orouba (Oma) (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALM 6 of 6 (100%) · ALO 4 of 5 (80%)92.5%

AL Musannah SC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Orouba (Oma): under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · AL Musannah SC: only games against sides at Al Orouba (Oma)'s level · Al Orouba (Oma): only games against sides at AL Musannah SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ALO 3 of 5 (60%)80%

AL Musannah SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Al Orouba (Oma): under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 6 of 6 · AL Musannah SC: only games against sides at Al Orouba (Oma)'s level · Al Orouba (Oma): only games against sides at AL Musannah SC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AL Musannah SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Al Orouba (Oma) or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.1%

AL Musannah SC goals →

Al Orouba (Oma) goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-09%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL MUSANNAH SCLLLLLDDWDW0.90 PPG

AL OROUBA (OMA)LLLWWLWLLD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL MUSANNAH SC HOMExAL OROUBA (OMA) AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.301.30CONCEDED A GAME2.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

AL MUSANNAH SC 3 · 38%DRAW 3AL OROUBA (OMA) 2 · 25%

3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-10-04AL Musannah SC 0 – 1 Al Orouba (Oma)

2013-02-09AL Musannah SC 2 – 0 Al Orouba (Oma)

2013-09-19AL Musannah SC 1 – 0 Al Orouba (Oma)

2014-02-18AL Musannah SC 1 – 1 Al Orouba (Oma)

2014-09-18AL Musannah SC 0 – 1 Al Orouba (Oma)

2015-02-21AL Musannah SC 2 – 1 Al Orouba (Oma)

2022-09-03AL Musannah SC 0 – 0 Al Orouba (Oma)

2023-02-14AL Musannah SC 1 – 1 Al Orouba (Oma)

TRENDS

AL Musannah SC have scored in 60% of their games.

Al Orouba (Oma) have scored in 70% of their games.

AL Musannah SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Al Orouba (Oma) kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head