Match details. Liga 2, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Baza Sportiva FC Bacau.
What's at stake. ACS FC Bacau are 9th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Concordia, level on points with Bihor Oradea. A win would take them above Concordia. Metaloglobus Bucuresti are 13th on 15 points after 11 games, 2 points behind CS Afumati, 4 points clear of CSA Steaua Bucureşti. A win would take them above CS Afumati.
Form. ACS FC Bacau have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition ACS FC Bacau have gone L W L D W W. Metaloglobus Bucuresti have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. In this competition Metaloglobus Bucuresti have gone W D L W D L.
The numbers. ACS FC Bacau score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. ACS FC Bacau average 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Metaloglobus Bucuresti score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Metaloglobus Bucuresti average 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Metaloglobus Bucuresti's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. ACS FC Bacau to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make ACS FC Bacau the likelier winners; ACS FC Bacau are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ACS FC Bacau. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. Best bet: ACS FC Bacau or Draw at 1.22, 77% on the records (ACS FC Bacau unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Metaloglobus Bucuresti failed to win 3 of 5 away). Leave: ACS FC Bacau or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (ACS FC Bacau are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (ACS FC Bacau are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: ACS FC Bacau 2-1 Metaloglobus Bucuresti (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).