Match details. Liga 2, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
What's at stake. Asa Targu Mures are 15th on 11 points after 11 games, level on points with CSA Steaua Bucureşti, level on points with CSM Ramnicu Valcea. A win would take them above CSA Steaua Bucureşti. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia are 18th on 8 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Viitorul Şelimbăr, level on points with CS Dinamo București. A win would take them above Viitorul Şelimbăr.
Form. Asa Targu Mures have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Asa Targu Mures have gone L L L W D W. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. In this competition AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia have gone D L W L L W.
The numbers. Asa Targu Mures score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Asa Targu Mures average 4.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia average 2.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The case against. Asa Targu Mures's record still gives them 63% to win.
The read. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia or the draw. Both teams' records favour Asa Targu Mures.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia Over 0.5 Goals (AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Asa Targu Mures 1-1 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).