Match details. Bundesliga, Women. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. SK Rapid Wien have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. FC Sudburgenland have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. SK Rapid Wien score 0.9 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. SK Rapid Wien average 1.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FC Sudburgenland score 0.7 and concede 2.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Sudburgenland average 3.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SK Rapid Wien 2-1 FC Sudburgenland (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SK Rapid Wien the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).