EMESM

15:00Fri 30 Oct

MCS

ES Mostaganem vs MC Saida

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ES Mostaganem are 7th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Usm El Harrach, level on points with Sidi Benali. A win would take them above Usm El Harrach. MC Saida are 4th on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point behind RC Kouba, 3 points clear of ASM Oran. A win would take them above RC Kouba.

Form. ES Mostaganem have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. MC Saida have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.

The numbers. ES Mostaganem score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. ES Mostaganem average 11.0 shots (4.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game. MC Saida score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. MC Saida average 11.1 shots (5.6 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings ES Mostaganem have won three, drawn one and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, ES Mostaganem won two, one was drawn and MC Saida won one. The last time they met, on 25 Feb 2023, it finished ES Mostaganem 4-1 MC Saida.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: MC Saida are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour ES Mostaganem. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. ES Mostaganem's record still gives them 28% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. MC Saida to win. MC Saida are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour ES Mostaganem.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (MC Saida are a clear winner, no Unders); ES Mostaganem Under 1.5 goals (ES Mostaganem's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (MC Saida are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: ES Mostaganem 0-1 MC Saida (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

MC Saida or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ESM 8 of 10 (80%) · MCS 4 of 6 (67%)78.8%

MC Saida: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ES Mostaganem: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · MC Saida: only games against sides at ES Mostaganem's level · ES Mostaganem: only games against sides at MC Saida's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

ESM 5 of 6 (83%) · MCS 9 of 10 (90%)91.2%

ES Mostaganem: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · MC Saida: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · H2H 6 of 6 · ES Mostaganem: only games against sides at MC Saida's level · MC Saida: only games against sides at ES Mostaganem's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

ESM 4 of 6 (67%) · MCS 5 of 10 (50%)66.4%

ES Mostaganem: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · MC Saida: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 6 of 6 · ES Mostaganem: only games against sides at MC Saida's level · MC Saida: only games against sides at ES Mostaganem's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ESM 5 of 5 (100%) · MCS 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%

ES Mostaganem's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · MC Saida's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · ES Mostaganem: only games in MC Saida's division · MC Saida: only games against sides at ES Mostaganem's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (MC Saida are a clear winner - no Unders); ES Mostaganem Under 1.5 goals (ES Mostaganem's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (MC Saida are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (MC Saida are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 12.7%

ES Mostaganem goals →

MC Saida goals ↓

0-013%

1-012%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-114%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-27%

1-27%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.7%

1-40.7%

2-40.4%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

ES MOSTAGANEMDWWLDWLDLD1.30 PPG

MC SAIDADWWWWDLWDL1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ES MOSTAGANEM HOMExMC SAIDA AWAY

1.29SCORED A GAME1.171.00CONCEDED A GAME0.5030%CLEAN SHEETS40%29%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.40CORNERS A GAME2.673.14CARDS A GAME1.14

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR MC SAIDA (1UP)

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137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

ES MOSTAGANEM 3 · 38%DRAW 1MC SAIDA 4 · 50%

5 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-10-23ES Mostaganem 2 – 1 MC Saida

2013-03-08ES Mostaganem 0 – 1 MC Saida

2013-09-13ES Mostaganem 1 – 2 MC Saida

2014-02-14ES Mostaganem 0 – 4 MC Saida

2018-11-30ES Mostaganem 1 – 1 MC Saida

2019-05-04ES Mostaganem 1 – 3 MC Saida

2022-10-14ES Mostaganem 2 – 0 MC Saida

2023-02-25ES Mostaganem 4 – 1 MC Saida

TRENDS

ES Mostaganem have scored in 70% of their games.

MC Saida have scored in 80% of their games.

ES Mostaganem kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

MC Saida kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards