El Bayadh vs ASM Oran
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. El Bayadh are 14th on 3 points after 7 games, level on points with RC Arba, level on points with Koléa. A win would take them above RC Arba. ASM Oran are 5th on 11 points after 7 games, 3 points behind MC Saida, level on points with Usm El Harrach. A win would take them level on points with MC Saida.
Form. El Bayadh have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. ASM Oran have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.
The numbers. El Bayadh score 0.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and seven games without a goal. El Bayadh average 10.9 shots (3.7 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. ASM Oran score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. ASM Oran average 8.9 shots (3.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 19 Mar 2022, it finished El Bayadh 3-0 ASM Oran.
The case against. ASM Oran's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. El Bayadh to win. A tight game. ASM Oran are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASM Oran. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (El Bayadh are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 2.5 Goals (El Bayadh are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: El Bayadh 1-0 ASM Oran (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).