Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Geodis Park, Nashville. The referee is Sergii Demianchuk.
What's at stake. Nashville SC are 1st on 71 points after 32 games, 13 points clear of New England Revolution. New York Red Bulls are 10th on 39 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Orlando City SC, level on points with New York City FC. New York Red Bulls have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Nashville SC are without O. Presthus (lower-body injury), F. Camara (lower-body injury), O. Presthus (lower-body injury), F. Camara (lower-body injury). New York Red Bulls are without J. Che (knee injury), R. Donkor (yellow cards), D. Nealis (yellow cards), J. Che (knee injury), R. Donkor (yellow cards), D. Nealis (yellow cards). R. Donkor is their main creator. D. Nealis is their centre-back.
Form. Nashville SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Nashville SC have gone D W D W W W. New York Red Bulls have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition New York Red Bulls have gone L W L L W L.
The numbers. Nashville SC score 1.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nashville SC average 15.0 shots (6.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. New York Red Bulls score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. New York Red Bulls average 17.6 shots (6.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Nashville SC have won two, drawn four and lost two. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Nashville SC won two, one was drawn and New York Red Bulls won one. The last time they met, on 19 Aug 2026, it finished Nashville SC 1-0 New York Red Bulls: Nashville SC had 11 shots to 13, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%; seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. New York Red Bulls's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Nashville SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Nashville SC the likelier winners; Nashville SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nashville SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: Nashville SC or Draw at 1.16, 85% on the records (Nashville SC unbeaten in 9 of 10; New York Red Bulls failed to win 4 of 6 away). Backup: New York Red Bulls Under 1.5 Goals at 1.43. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Nashville SC or Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (Nashville SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Nashville SC 2-1 New York Red Bulls (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).