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USA - MLS
Atlanta United FC crestAUATL
22:30Sun 1 Nov
TORToronto FC crestTF

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Atlanta Stadium. The referee is Filip Dujic.

What's at stake. Atlanta United FC are 14th on 30 points after 32 games, 3 points behind DC United, 4 points clear of CF Montreal. A win would take them level on points with DC United. Toronto FC are 12th on 39 points after 32 games, level on points with New York City FC, 6 points clear of DC United. A win would take them above New York City FC. Atlanta United FC have nothing left to play for. Toronto FC have nothing left to play for.

Team news. Atlanta United FC are without D. Chica (knee injury), E. Mihaj (hip injury), W. Reilly (ankle injury), D. Chica (knee injury), E. Mihaj (hip injury), W. Reilly (ankle injury). E. Mihaj is their centre-back. Toronto FC are without K. Franklin (shoulder injury), N. Palacio (lower-body injury), W. Zimmerman (ankle injury), K. Franklin (shoulder injury), N. Palacio (lower-body injury), W. Zimmerman (ankle injury). W. Zimmerman is their centre-back.

Form. Atlanta United FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Atlanta United FC have gone L L L W L D. Toronto FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Toronto FC have gone W L W D W L.

The numbers. Atlanta United FC score 1.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Atlanta United FC average 14.6 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Toronto FC score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Toronto FC average 13.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atlanta United FC have won three, drawn five and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Atlanta United FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Atlanta United FC 2-1 Toronto FC: Atlanta United FC had 6 shots to 9, 46% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Toronto FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Atlanta United FC: in the last ten meetings, Atlanta United FC won three, Toronto FC won two and five were drawn.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Toronto FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atlanta United FC Under 1.5 goals (Atlanta United FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1-1 Toronto FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · TOR 4 of 5 (80%)87%
Atlanta United FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Toronto FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · TOR 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
Atlanta United FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Toronto FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.73
ATL 0 of 5 (0%) · TOR 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Atlanta United FC: under 3.5 goals in 0 of 5 at home · Toronto FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level
ATLANTA UNITED FC GOALS
Atlanta United FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.13
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · TOR 4 of 5 (80%)68.8%
Atlanta United FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Toronto FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level
TORONTO FC GOALS
Toronto FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.24
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · TOR 5 of 5 (100%)65.9%
Toronto FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Atlanta United FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TOR 5 of 5 (100%)77.5%
Atlanta United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Toronto FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.53
ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · TOR 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Atlanta United FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Toronto FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at Toronto FC's level · Toronto FC: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Toronto FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atlanta United FC Under 1.5 goals (Atlanta United FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.7%
Atlanta United FC goals →
Toronto FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
ATLANTA UNITED FCDLDWDLWLLL0.90 PPG
TORONTO FCDWLLLWDWLW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLANTA UNITED FC HOMExTORONTO FC AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.801.80CONCEDED A GAME2.2030%CLEAN SHEETS10%28%FAILED TO SCORE16%4.75CORNERS A GAME4.252.38CARDS A GAME1.751.44xG1.791.11xG AGAINST1.85
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.27POINTS A GAME1.13-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40-0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.50.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.022LEAGUE GAMES15
Toronto FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
75%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
ATLANTA UNITED FC OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
TORONTO FC OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (22 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLANTA UNITED FCxTORONTO FC
12GAMES81.67SCORED A GAME0.751.83CONCEDED A GAME1.883.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.692%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%83%BOTH SCORE38%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.810.3CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ATLANTA UNITED FC 3 · 30%DRAW 5TORONTO FC 2 · 20%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-10-30Atlanta United FC 1 – 1 Toronto FC
2022-06-25Atlanta United FC 1 – 2 Toronto FC
2022-09-10Atlanta United FC 4 – 2 Toronto FC
2023-03-05Atlanta United FC 1 – 1 Toronto FC
2023-04-15Atlanta United FC 2 – 2 Toronto FC
2024-03-23Atlanta United FC 0 – 2 Toronto FC
2024-06-29Atlanta United FC 2 – 1 Toronto FC
2025-07-12Atlanta United FC 1 – 1 Toronto FC
TEAM NEWS

ATLANTA UNITED FC

Out: D. Chica (Knee Injury), E. Mihaj (Hip Injury), W. Reilly (Ankle Injury), D. Chica (Knee Injury), E. Mihaj (Hip Injury), W. Reilly (Ankle Injury)

TORONTO FC

Out: K. Franklin (Shoulder Injury), N. Palacio (Lower-Body Injury), W. Zimmerman (Ankle Injury), K. Franklin (Shoulder Injury), N. Palacio (Lower-Body Injury), W. Zimmerman (Ankle Injury)
TRENDS
Atlanta United FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Toronto FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Atlanta United FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Toronto FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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