New York City FC vs CF Montreal
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Yankee Stadium, New York City.
What's at stake. New York City FC are 12th on 38 points after 32 games, level on points with Columbus Crew, 5 points clear of DC United. A win would take them above Columbus Crew. CF Montreal are 15th on 25 points after 32 games, 5 points behind Atlanta United FC. New York City FC have nothing left to play for. CF Montreal have nothing left to play for.
Form. New York City FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. CF Montreal have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. New York City FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. New York City FC average 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. CF Montreal score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. CF Montreal average 11.1 shots (3.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings New York City FC have won five, drawn one and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, CF Montreal won four. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished New York City FC 0-1 CF Montreal: New York City FC had 4 shots to 8, 64% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make New York City FC the likelier winners, but New York City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF Montreal.
The case against. CF Montreal's record still gives them 36% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. New York City FC to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make New York City FC the likelier winners; New York City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF Montreal. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 5.5 Goals (New York City FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: New York City FC 1-0 CF Montreal (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).