FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati. The referee is Allen Chapman.
What's at stake. FC Cincinnati are 8th on 43 points after 32 games, level on points with Orlando City SC, 2 points clear of Columbus Crew. A win would take them above Orlando City SC. Philadelphia Union are 6th on 47 points after 32 games, 3 points behind Charlotte, 4 points clear of Orlando City SC. A win would take them level on points with Charlotte.
Team news. FC Cincinnati are without J. Malatini (thigh injury), M. Robinson (leg injury), E. Echenique (leg injury), T. Malacia (ankle injury), J. Malatini (thigh injury), M. Robinson (leg injury). Philadelphia Union are without J. Bueno (hamstring injury), M. Iloski (muscle injury), D. Jean Jacques (yellow cards), J. Bueno (hamstring injury), M. Iloski (muscle injury), D. Jean Jacques (yellow cards). M. Iloski is their top scorer.
Form. FC Cincinnati have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. In this competition FC Cincinnati have gone D W W L L W. Philadelphia Union have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition Philadelphia Union have gone D L D W W W.
The numbers. FC Cincinnati score 1.7 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Cincinnati average 17.4 shots (5.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Philadelphia Union score 2.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Philadelphia Union average 17.2 shots (6.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Cincinnati have won three, drawn one and lost four. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Cincinnati won one and Philadelphia Union won three. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished FC Cincinnati 0-5 Philadelphia Union: FC Cincinnati had 1 shots to 20, 34% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Philadelphia Union's record still gives them 58% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. FC Cincinnati or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Philadelphia Union are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Philadelphia Union; the meetings favour Philadelphia Union. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 78% on the records (FC Cincinnati: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Philadelphia Union: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Philadelphia Union (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).