THE READ
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Khimki, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Rodina Moscow are 15th on 9 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Akhmat, 3 points clear of Fakel. A win would take them above Akhmat. FK Krasnodar are 4th on 23 points after 12 games, 2 points behind CSKA Moscow, level on points with Spartak Moscow. A win would take them above CSKA Moscow.
Team news. Rodina Moscow are without A. Meshchaninov (yellow cards), Rodrigo Becao (inactive), A. Meshchaninov (yellow cards), Rodrigo Becao (inactive). A. Meshchaninov is their centre-back. FK Krasnodar are without N. Krivtsov (muscle injury), I. Vakhania (yellow cards), N. Krivtsov (muscle injury), I. Vakhania (yellow cards).
Form. Rodina Moscow have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Rodina Moscow have gone W D L D L L. FK Krasnodar have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. In this competition FK Krasnodar have gone D D L D D D.
The numbers. Rodina Moscow score 1.1 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Rodina Moscow average 10.5 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. FK Krasnodar score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. FK Krasnodar average 14.8 shots (5.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. FK Krasnodar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Krasnodar the likelier winners; FK Krasnodar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Krasnodar. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FK Krasnodar at 1.18, 85% on the records (FK Krasnodar unbeaten in 9 of 10; Rodina Moscow failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: FK Krasnodar win or both teams score at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Krasnodar Over 1.5 goals (FK Krasnodar's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Rodina Moscow 1-2 FK Krasnodar (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FK Krasnodar or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ROD 9 of 10 (90%) · FKK 9 of 10 (90%)92.5%
FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
FK Krasnodar win or both teams scoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.12
ROD 9 of 10 (90%) · FKK 9 of 10 (90%)92.5%
FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
Double Chance: Draw or FK KrasnodarMAININ CODES
1.18
ROD 9 of 10 (90%) · FKK 8 of 10 (80%)88.9%
FK Krasnodar unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
FK Krasnodar (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.28
ROD 4 of 5 (80%) · FKK 5 of 7 (71%)85.3%
FK Krasnodar won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Rodina Moscow lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · won 9, refunded 8, lost 3
FK Krasnodar or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.13
ROD 3 of 5 (60%) · FKK 8 of 10 (80%)76.7%
FK Krasnodar scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
FK Krasnodar to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.34
ROD 8 of 10 (80%) · FKK 7 of 10 (70%)75%
FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
FK Krasnodar or draw and over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.41
ROD 8 of 10 (80%) · FKK 5 of 10 (50%)73.8%
Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
FK Krasnodar or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
ROD 7 of 10 (70%) · FKK 8 of 10 (80%)68.8%
FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
FK Krasnodar 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
ROD 3 of 5 (60%) · FKK 5 of 10 (50%)63.3%
FK Krasnodar scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow trailed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
FK Krasnodar to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
ROD 4 of 10 (40%) · FKK 5 of 10 (50%)58.2%
FK Krasnodar won 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
GOALS
1.20
ROD 9 of 10 (90%) · FKK 6 of 10 (60%)78.5%
Rodina Moscow: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
RODINA MOSCOW GOALS
Rodina Moscow Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.33
ROD 7 of 10 (70%) · FKK 7 of 10 (70%)74.9%
Rodina Moscow scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
Rodina Moscow Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
ROD 7 of 10 (70%) · FKK 6 of 10 (60%)51.6%
Rodina Moscow scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
FK KRASNODAR GOALS
FK Krasnodar Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.12
ROD 9 of 10 (90%) · FKK 9 of 10 (90%)86.9%
FK Krasnodar scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rodina Moscow conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
ROD 7 of 10 (70%) · FKK 8 of 10 (80%)75%
Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.20
ROD 9 of 10 (90%) · FKK 6 of 10 (60%)75%
Rodina Moscow: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
CARDS
no price yet
ROD 7 of 8 (88%) · FKK 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
Rodina Moscow's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Krasnodar's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Rodina Moscow: only games against sides at FK Krasnodar's level · FK Krasnodar: only games against sides at Rodina Moscow's level
Left off the list: FK Krasnodar Over 1.5 goals (FK Krasnodar's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
RODINA MOSCOW OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
FK KRASNODAR OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.