Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac.
What's at stake. FK Macva Sabac are 12th on 10 points after 13 games, 1 point behind OFK Beograd, 2 points clear of Radnicki NIS. A win would take them above OFK Beograd. Crvena Zvezda are 1st on 37 points after 13 games, 8 points clear of Vojvodina.
Form. FK Macva Sabac have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition FK Macva Sabac have gone L D D L L D. Crvena Zvezda have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Crvena Zvezda have gone W W W W W W.
The numbers. FK Macva Sabac score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Macva Sabac average 9.8 shots (2.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Crvena Zvezda score 1.5 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets. Crvena Zvezda average 16.9 shots (6.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. Crvena Zvezda have won all of the last ten meetings. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Crvena Zvezda won four. The last time they met, on 17 Jul 2026, it finished FK Macva Sabac 0-5 Crvena Zvezda: FK Macva Sabac had 2 shots to 27, 31% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. Crvena Zvezda to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Crvena Zvezda the likelier winners; Crvena Zvezda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Crvena Zvezda; the meetings favour Crvena Zvezda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Crvena Zvezda or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Crvena Zvezda Over 0.5 Goals (FK Macva Sabac's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Crvena Zvezda win and under 3.5 goals (Crvena Zvezda are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Macva Sabac 0-3 Crvena Zvezda (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).