Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik. The referee is B. Van Driessche.
What's at stake. Standard Liege are 9th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Lommel United, level on points with Zulte Waregem. A win would take them above Lommel United. KV Kortrijk are 17th on 3 points after 8 games, 3 points behind OH Leuven, level on points with Cercle Brugge. A win would take them level on points with OH Leuven.
Form. Standard Liege have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. KV Kortrijk have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Standard Liege score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Standard Liege average 10.8 shots (3.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. KV Kortrijk score 0.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. KV Kortrijk average 7.3 shots (1.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Standard Liege have won three, drawn two and lost four. One of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Standard Liege won one, one was drawn and KV Kortrijk won two. The last time they met, on 10 Jan 2025, it finished Standard Liege 1-0 KV Kortrijk: Standard Liege had 14 shots to 19, 39% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; eight of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. KV Kortrijk's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Standard Liege to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Standard Liege the likelier winners; Standard Liege are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Standard Liege. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Eight of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Standard Liege or Draw at 1.21, 85% on the records (Standard Liege unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; KV Kortrijk failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Standard Liege are a clear winner, no Unders); Standard Liege or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Standard Liege or draw and under 3.5 goals (Standard Liege are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Standard Liege 2-0 KV Kortrijk (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).