Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Feyenoord conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fortuna Sittard: only games against sides at Feyenoord's level · Feyenoord: only games against sides at Fortuna Sittard's level
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam.
What's at stake. Feyenoord are 1st on 24 points after 10 games, 3 points clear of Ajax. Fortuna Sittard are 6th on 18 points after 10 games, 2 points behind AZ Alkmaar, 3 points clear of Heerenveen. A win would take them above AZ Alkmaar.
Form. Feyenoord have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. Fortuna Sittard have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.
The numbers. Feyenoord score 2.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Feyenoord average 19.5 shots (8.9 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Fortuna Sittard score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Fortuna Sittard average 9.1 shots (4.0 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Feyenoord have won seven, drawn three and lost none. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Feyenoord won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Feyenoord 2-1 Fortuna Sittard: Feyenoord had 19 shots to 7, 53% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 48%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Feyenoord are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Feyenoord the likelier winners; Feyenoord are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Feyenoord; the meetings favour Feyenoord. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 79% on the records (Feyenoord: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Fortuna Sittard: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Full cover: Fortuna Sittard Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Feyenoord are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Feyenoord are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Feyenoord 2-1 Fortuna Sittard (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).