Match details. Motherwell FC host St Mirren FC at Fir Park in Premiership, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is set for 16:00 Lagos time on Sat 31 Oct.
What's at stake. Motherwell FC are 10th on 9 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Aberdeen and 1 point clear of Hibernian. A win would take them above Aberdeen. St Mirren FC are 7th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Falkirk and 1 point clear of ST Johnstone. A win would take them above Falkirk.
Form. Motherwell FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, averaging 0.5 points a game. Their last five matches read D L L L L. St Mirren FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, getting 0.8 points a game. Their last five read D W L L L.
The numbers. Motherwell FC score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. They average 14.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. St Mirren FC score 0.6 and concede 2.8 in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two goalless games. They average 11.2 shots (3.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Motherwell FC have won four, drawn five and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Motherwell FC won two, one was drawn and St Mirren FC won one. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished Motherwell FC 3-3 St Mirren FC, with Motherwell FC having 22 shots to 23, 55% of the ball, and four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways for me. Their goals for and against make Motherwell FC the likelier winners, but St Mirren FC are the stronger side on form and the table. The meetings favour Motherwell FC.
The case against. St Mirren FC's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. Motherwell FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Motherwell FC the likelier winners; St Mirren FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Motherwell FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Motherwell FC 1-1 St Mirren FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).