FUFCU

09:00Thu 29 Oct

DER

DER

FC Ulaanbaatar vs Deren

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 09:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FC Ulaanbaatar are 1st on 25 points after 9 games, 4 points clear of Central Stallions. Deren are 3rd on 20 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Central Stallions, 5 points clear of Hunters. A win would take them above Central Stallions.

Form. FC Ulaanbaatar have won eight, drawn one and lost none of their last nine, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition FC Ulaanbaatar have gone W W W W W W. Deren have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Deren have gone W W L D W W.

The numbers. FC Ulaanbaatar score 4.4 and concede 0.4 a game over their last nine, with seven clean sheets. Deren score 3.1 and concede one a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Ulaanbaatar have won five, drawn three and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Ulaanbaatar won two, one was drawn and Deren won one. The last time they met, on 17 Sep 2026, it finished FC Ulaanbaatar 0-0 Deren.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Deren's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The read. FC Ulaanbaatar to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Ulaanbaatar the likelier winners; FC Ulaanbaatar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Ulaanbaatar; the meetings favour FC Ulaanbaatar. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Ulaanbaatar or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Ulaanbaatar 2-0 Deren (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Ulaanbaatar or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCU 8 of 9 (89%) · DER 5 of 9 (56%)75%

FC Ulaanbaatar: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level

Double Chance: FC Ulaanbaatar or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY

1.22

FCU 9 of 9 (100%) · DER 3 of 9 (33%)69%

FC Ulaanbaatar unbeaten in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren failed to win 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level

FC Ulaanbaatar (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

FCU 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 1 of 7 (14%)64.7%

FC Ulaanbaatar won 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Deren lost 1 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 3 of 4 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level · won 5, refunded 0, lost 3

FC Ulaanbaatar to WinSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.68

FCU 8 of 9 (89%) · DER 1 of 9 (11%)56.2%

FC Ulaanbaatar won 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren lost 1 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level · rule 2: the meetings back FC Ulaanbaatar: in the last 10 meetings, FC Ulaanbaatar won 5, Deren won 2 and 3 were drawn; in the last 4, FC Ulaanbaatar won 2,

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

FCU 5 of 9 (56%) · DER 6 of 9 (67%)70.8%

FC Ulaanbaatar: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level

Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

FCU 5 of 9 (56%) · DER 4 of 9 (44%)58.3%

FC Ulaanbaatar: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level

FC ULAANBAATAR GOALS

FC Ulaanbaatar Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCU 8 of 9 (89%) · DER 5 of 9 (56%)75%

FC Ulaanbaatar scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren conceded in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCU 6 of 9 (67%) · DER 8 of 9 (89%)70.8%

FC Ulaanbaatar: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Deren: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Ulaanbaatar: only games against sides at Deren's level · Deren: only games against sides at FC Ulaanbaatar's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Ulaanbaatar or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Deren Under 1.5 goals (Deren's own games don't back it (2 of 9)); FC Ulaanbaatar Over 1.5 goals (Deren's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Ulaanbaatar or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 6.1%

FC Ulaanbaatar goals →

Deren goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-18%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-26%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.7%

0-40.4%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.9%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.1%

1-50.3%

2-50.3%

3-50.3%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9

FC ULAANBAATARDWWWWWWWW2.78 PPG

DERENWDWWWDLWW2.22 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC ULAANBAATAR HOMExDEREN AWAY

4.44SCORED A GAME3.110.44CONCEDED A GAME1.0078%CLEAN SHEETS44%11%FAILED TO SCORE11%

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FC ULAANBAATAR 5 · 50%DRAW 3DEREN 2 · 20%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-04-21FC Ulaanbaatar 5 – 1 Deren

2024-06-22FC Ulaanbaatar 1 – 1 Deren

2025-03-09FC Ulaanbaatar 0 – 2 Deren

2025-06-11FC Ulaanbaatar 4 – 1 Deren

2025-07-20FC Ulaanbaatar 1 – 0 Deren

2025-10-26FC Ulaanbaatar 1 – 1 Deren

2026-05-23FC Ulaanbaatar 2 – 0 Deren

2026-06-27FC Ulaanbaatar 2 – 0 Deren

TRENDS

FC Ulaanbaatar failed to score in 11% of their games.

Deren failed to score in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table