TRTOW

18:00Thu 29 Oct

TON

Township Rollers vs Tonota FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Township Rollers are 12th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Nico United, level on points with Matebele. A win would take them above Nico United. Tonota FC are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Gaborone United, level on points with Sua Flamingoes. A win would take them above Gaborone United.

Form. Township Rollers have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. Tonota FC have won four, drawn two and lost none of their last six, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.

The numbers. Township Rollers score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Township Rollers average 12.4 shots (5.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Tonota FC score 1.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. Tonota FC average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

The case against. Township Rollers's record still gives them 20% to win.

The read. Tonota FC to win. A tight game. Tonota FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tonota FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tonota FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tonota FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Township Rollers 0-1 Tonota FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tonota FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOW 6 of 6 (100%) · TON 8 of 10 (80%)85%

Tonota FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Double Chance: Draw or Tonota FCLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

TOW 6 of 6 (100%) · TON 6 of 10 (60%)68.2%

Tonota FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOW 9 of 10 (90%) · TON 6 of 6 (100%)95.6%

Township Rollers: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tonota FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOW 8 of 10 (80%) · TON 6 of 6 (100%)89.1%

Township Rollers: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tonota FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOW 8 of 10 (80%) · TON 5 of 6 (83%)70.4%

Township Rollers: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tonota FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level

TONOTA FC GOALS

Tonota FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOW 6 of 6 (100%) · TON 7 of 10 (70%)76.3%

Tonota FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Left off the list: Tonota FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Tonota FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.8%

Township Rollers goals →

Tonota FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TOWNSHIP ROLLERSWWWLLDWLDL1.40 PPG

TONOTA FCWDDWWW2.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TOWNSHIP ROLLERS HOMExTONOTA FC AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.501.40CONCEDED A GAME0.5030%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.43CORNERS A GAME4.002.14CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TOWNSHIP ROLLERS OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

TONOTA FC OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Township Rollers have scored in 90% of their games.

Tonota FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Township Rollers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Tonota FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards