Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro.
What's at stake. US Catanzaro are 20th on 5 points after 9 games, level on points with Sampdoria. A win would take them above Sampdoria. Calcio Padova are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Pisa, level on points with Sudtirol. A win would take them above Pisa.
Form. US Catanzaro have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. Calcio Padova have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. US Catanzaro score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. US Catanzaro average 11.0 shots (3.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Calcio Padova score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Calcio Padova average 8.4 shots (2.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings US Catanzaro have won one, drawn two and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, US Catanzaro won one, one was drawn and Calcio Padova won two. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished US Catanzaro 3-1 Calcio Padova: US Catanzaro had 13 shots to 13, 47% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make US Catanzaro the likelier winners, but Calcio Padova are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Calcio Padova.
The case against. US Catanzaro's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Calcio Padova or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make US Catanzaro the likelier winners; Calcio Padova are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Calcio Padova. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Catanzaro 1-1 Calcio Padova (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).