INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

LENLEN

21:00Wed 4 Nov

COM

COM

Lens vs Como 1907

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. The referee is Rohit Saggi.

What's at stake. Lens are 26th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Sabah FA, level on points with AEK Athens FC. A win would take them above Sabah FA. Como 1907 are 11th on 6 points after 3 games, 1 point behind VfB Stuttgart, level on points with Manchester City. A win would take them above VfB Stuttgart.

Team news. Lens are without J. Chavez (coach's decision), O. Edouard (groin injury), I. Ganiou (knee injury), I. Jourdren (off the roster), M. Nawrocki (knee injury), A. Sima (muscle injury). Como 1907 are without J. Addai (muscle injury), T. Chalobah (injury), A. Diao (thigh injury), E. Goldaniga (off the roster), W. Kambwala (off the roster), M. Kean (leg injury).

Form. Lens have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Como 1907 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Lens score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Lens average 12.2 shots (5.3 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Como 1907 score 2.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Como 1907 average 15.6 shots (6.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The case against. Lens's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. Como 1907 or the draw. A draw is live. Como 1907 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Como 1907.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Como 1907 or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Como 1907 to Win Either Half: Yes (no side to back); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Como 1907 (no side to back). Predicted score: Lens 1-1 Como 1907 (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Como 1907PAGE ONLY

1.32

LEN 9 of 10 (90%) · COM 6 of 10 (60%)75.7%

Como 1907: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lens: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Double Chance: Draw or Como 1907LEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

LEN 8 of 10 (80%) · COM 6 of 10 (60%)62.2%

Como 1907 unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lens failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against

Como 1907 (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

LEN 7 of 9 (78%) · COM 5 of 9 (56%)54.1%

Como 1907 won 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Lens lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

LEN 10 of 10 (100%) · COM 10 of 10 (100%)85%

Lens: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Como 1907: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

LEN 9 of 10 (90%) · COM 7 of 10 (70%)75%

Lens: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Como 1907: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

LEN 8 of 10 (80%) · COM 8 of 10 (80%)74.7%

Lens: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Como 1907: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against

COMO 1907 GOALS

Como 1907 Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

LEN 8 of 10 (80%) · COM 10 of 10 (100%)73.5%

Como 1907 scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lens conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

LEN 10 of 10 (100%) · COM 7 of 10 (70%)85.8%

Lens: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Como 1907: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

LEN 7 of 10 (70%) · COM 8 of 10 (80%)75.9%

Lens: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Como 1907: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Como 1907 Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.50

LEN 7 of 10 (70%) · COM 7 of 10 (70%)71.1%

Como 1907: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lens: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Como 1907 or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Como 1907 to Win Either Half: Yes (no side to back); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Como 1907 (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: Como 1907 (no side to back); Como 1907 or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Como 1907 or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (68%) and the records (90%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Como 1907 win or both teams score (no side to back); Como 1907 or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Lens goals →

Como 1907 goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

LENSLWDLWLWLWL1.30 PPG

COMO 1907WWLDLWWWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LENS HOMExCOMO 1907 AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME2.101.60CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS30%67%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.40CORNERS A GAME5.302.30CARDS A GAME1.701.87xG2.172.15xG AGAINST1.03

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.44POINTS A GAME2.30+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES10

Como 1907: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

COMO 1907 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LENS OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

COMO 1907 OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LENSxCOMO 1907

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.810.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

LENS

Out: J. Chavez (Coach's decision), O. Edouard (Groin Injury), I. Ganiou (Knee Injury), I. Jourdren (Off the roster), M. Nawrocki (Knee Injury), A. Sima (Muscle Injury)

COMO 1907

Out: J. Addai (Muscle Injury), T. Chalobah (Injury), A. Diao (Thigh Injury), E. Goldaniga (Off the roster), W. Kambwala (Off the roster), M. Kean (Leg Injury)

TRENDS

Lens have scored in 60% of their games.

Como 1907 have scored in 80% of their games.

Lens kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Como 1907 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards