INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

FIFEN

18:45Wed 4 Nov

LIV

LIV

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Liverpool

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

FIv

LIV

Over 1.5 Goals

Fenerbahce Istanbul v Liverpool

International Clubs -… · 18:45

1.12odds

89%book

0edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Chobani Stadium, Istanbul. The referee is Clement Turpin.

What's at stake. Fenerbahce Istanbul are 31st on 2 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Feyenoord, 1 point clear of Slavia Praha. A win would take them above Feyenoord. Liverpool are 4th on 9 points after 3 games, level on points with Aston Villa, level on points with Real Madrid. A win would take them above Aston Villa.

Team news. Fenerbahce Istanbul are without N. Ake (muscle injury), M. Asensio (knee injury), A. Diouf (off the roster), A. Fall (off the roster), J. Oosterwolde (achilles tendon injury), M. Yandas (off the roster). Liverpool are without C. Bradley (knee injury), F. Chiesa (off the roster), H. Ekitike (achilles tendon injury), W. Endo (off the roster), J. Frimpong (muscle injury), R. Gravenberch (heel injury).

Form. Fenerbahce Istanbul have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. Liverpool have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.

The numbers. Fenerbahce Istanbul score 2.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Fenerbahce Istanbul average 14.3 shots (5.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Liverpool average 14.1 shots (4.7 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Fenerbahce Istanbul the likelier winners, but Liverpool are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool.

The case against. Fenerbahce Istanbul's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Liverpool or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fenerbahce Istanbul the likelier winners; Liverpool are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 84% on the records (Fenerbahce Istanbul: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Liverpool: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Fenerbahce Istanbul Over 0.5 Goals at 1.38. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Double Chance: Draw or Liverpool (the signs point different ways); Liverpool (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Liverpool or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Fenerbahce Istanbul 2-2 Liverpool (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Liverpool or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FEN 8 of 10 (80%) · LIV 6 of 6 (100%)94.5%

Liverpool: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fenerbahce Istanbul: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against

Liverpool or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.11

FEN 4 of 5 (80%) · LIV 8 of 10 (80%)74%

Liverpool scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fenerbahce Istanbul trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 at home · each game weighed by who it was against

Liverpool or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.18

FEN 7 of 10 (70%) · LIV 5 of 6 (83%)68.5%

Liverpool: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fenerbahce Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

Liverpool 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 79%

1.27

FEN 3 of 5 (60%) · LIV 6 of 10 (60%)55.5%

Liverpool scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fenerbahce Istanbul trailed in 3 of 6 at home · each game weighed by who it was against

Liverpool to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

FEN 6 of 10 (60%) · LIV 2 of 6 (33%)53%

Liverpool won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fenerbahce Istanbul lost 2 of 6 at home · both last 10: 48% · each game weighed by who it was against

Liverpool or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

FEN 3 of 6 (50%) · LIV 4 of 10 (40%)52%

Fenerbahce Istanbul: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Liverpool: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · each game weighed by who it was against

Liverpool Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

FEN 5 of 10 (50%) · LIV 2 of 6 (33%)50.7%

Liverpool: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fenerbahce Istanbul: the bet landed in 2 of 6 at home · both last 10: 44% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.12

FEN 6 of 6 (100%) · LIV 7 of 10 (70%)89.2%

Fenerbahce Istanbul: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Liverpool: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

FEN 5 of 6 (83%) · LIV 5 of 10 (50%)63.8%

Fenerbahce Istanbul: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Liverpool: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

FEN 4 of 6 (67%) · LIV 5 of 10 (50%)52%

Fenerbahce Istanbul: both scored in 4 of 6 at home · Liverpool: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 49% · each game weighed by who it was against

FENERBAHCE ISTANBUL GOALS

Fenerbahce Istanbul Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPLEANIN CODES

1.38

FEN 6 of 6 (100%) · LIV 7 of 10 (70%)66.2%

Fenerbahce Istanbul scored in 6 of 6 at home · Liverpool conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

FEN 6 of 6 (100%) · LIV 7 of 10 (70%)81.4%

Fenerbahce Istanbul: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Liverpool: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.15

FEN 6 of 6 (100%) · LIV 6 of 10 (60%)79.5%

Fenerbahce Istanbul: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Liverpool: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Double Chance: Draw or Liverpool (the numbers (51%) and the records (72%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Liverpool (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (38%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Liverpool or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (45%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Fenerbahce Istanbul Under 1.5 goals (Fenerbahce Istanbul's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Liverpool or draw and both teams score (the numbers (40%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Liverpool Over 1.5 goals (Liverpool's own games don't back it (5 of 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 7.1%

Fenerbahce Istanbul goals →

Liverpool goals ↓

0-02%

1-04%

2-05%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.9%

0-13%

1-18%

2-18%

3-16%

4-13%

5-12%

0-23%

1-26%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-32%

1-34%

2-34%

3-33%

4-32%

5-30.7%

0-40.7%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.7%

5-40.3%

0-50.2%

1-50.5%

2-50.6%

3-50.4%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FENERBAHCE ISTANBULLDDWWLWDLL1.20 PPG

LIVERPOOLDWWLWWWWDL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FENERBAHCE ISTANBUL HOMExLIVERPOOL AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.901.50CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS30%11%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.50CORNERS A GAME6.302.50CARDS A GAME1.901.49xG2.431.73xG AGAINST1.54

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME1.67+1.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES9

Liverpool: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

FENERBAHCE ISTANBUL OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

LIVERPOOL OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FENERBAHCE ISTANBULxLIVERPOOL

5GAMES53.20SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.004.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.011.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

FENERBAHCE ISTANBUL

Out: N. Ake (Muscle Injury), M. Asensio (Knee Injury), A. Diouf (Off the roster), A. Fall (Off the roster), J. Oosterwolde (Achilles Tendon Injury), M. Yandas (Off the roster)

LIVERPOOL

Out: C. Bradley (Knee Injury), F. Chiesa (Off the roster), H. Ekitike (Achilles Tendon Injury), W. Endo (Off the roster), J. Frimpong (Muscle Injury), R. Gravenberch (Heel Injury)

TRENDS

Fenerbahce Istanbul have scored in 80% of their games.

Liverpool have scored in 70% of their games.

Fenerbahce Istanbul kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Liverpool kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards