Sholing FC vs Malvern Town
Match details. Southern League Premier South. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sholing FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. Malvern Town have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Sholing FC score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Sholing FC average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Malvern Town score 0.5 and concede 3.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Malvern Town average 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 39%.
The read. No firm call: Sholing FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sholing FC the likelier winners; Sholing FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (Sholing FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5; Malvern Town: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sholing FC 2-1 Malvern Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).