Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang.
Form. Semen Padang FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. Sumsel United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Semen Padang FC score 0.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Semen Padang FC average 9.5 shots (2.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Sumsel United score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sumsel United average 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The case against. Semen Padang FC's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Sumsel United to win. Their goals for and against make Sumsel United the likelier winners; Sumsel United are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Semen Padang FC Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Semen Padang FC 1-2 Sumsel United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).