INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - CONCACAF CENTRAL AMERICAN CUP

LDLIG

03:00Fri 30 Oct

FCM

Liga Deportiva Alajuelense vs FC Motagua Tegucigalpa

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. CONCACAF Central American Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Liga Deportiva Alajuelense have won four, drawn two and lost one of their last seven, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. In this competition Liga Deportiva Alajuelense have gone D W D W L W. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won three, drawn four and lost none of their last seven, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. In this competition FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have gone D D W D D W.

The numbers. Liga Deportiva Alajuelense score 1.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa score 1.6 and concede 0.3 a game over their last seven, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Liga Deportiva Alajuelense have won two, drawn one and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 23 Oct 2026, it finished Liga Deportiva Alajuelense 0-0 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Liga Deportiva Alajuelense 1-1 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LIG 7 of 7 (100%) · FCM 7 of 7 (100%)96.4%

Liga Deportiva Alajuelense: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA GOALS

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.55

LIG 5 of 7 (71%) · FCM 5 of 7 (71%)71.9%

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Liga Deportiva Alajuelense conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 3 of 4

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.1%

Liga Deportiva… goals →

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa goals ↓

0-012%

1-010%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-28%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41.0%

2-40.5%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 7

LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSEWWLWDWD2.00 PPG

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPAWWDDWDD1.86 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE HOMExFC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA AWAY

1.71SCORED A GAME1.570.86CONCEDED A GAME0.2929%CLEAN SHEETS71%29%FAILED TO SCORE29%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME2.11+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSExFC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME0.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE 2 · 50%DRAW 1FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA 1 · 25%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-09-01Liga Deportiva Alajuelense 5 – 1 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa

2025-09-24Liga Deportiva Alajuelense 0 – 1 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa

2025-10-01Liga Deportiva Alajuelense 2 – 1 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa

2026-10-23Liga Deportiva Alajuelense 0 – 0 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa

TRENDS

Liga Deportiva Alajuelense failed to score in 29% of their games.

FC Motagua Tegucigalpa failed to score in 29% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to head