Match details. Division Profesional. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real Potosi have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Independiente Petrolero have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Real Potosi score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Real Potosi average 5.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Independiente Petrolero score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Independiente Petrolero average 3.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 47%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No firm call: Real Potosi are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Real Potosi the likelier winners; Real Potosi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Potosi.
The bets. Best bet: Independiente Petrolero Under 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (Independiente Petrolero scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10; Real Potosi conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Real Potosi 1-1 Independiente Petrolero (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Real Potosi or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.12
REA 5 of 6 (83%) · IND 6 of 10 (60%)77.1%
Real Potosi: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Independiente Petrolero: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
REAL POTOSI GOALS
Real Potosi Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 6 of 6 (100%) · IND 6 of 10 (60%)82.1%
Real Potosi scored in 6 of 6 at home · Independiente Petrolero conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO GOALS
Independiente Petrolero Under 1.5 goalsMAININ CODES
1.26
REA 6 of 10 (60%) · IND 4 of 6 (67%)82.1%
Independiente Petrolero scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Potosi conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 60%
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Real Potosi are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–111.3%
Real Potosi goals →
Independiente… goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-011%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
REAL POTOSILWWWWDWLWD2.00 PPG
INDEPENDIENTE PETROLEROWWDLWLWWWL1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
REAL POTOSI HOMExINDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.350.70CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.19CORNERS A GAME3.432.29CARDS A GAME2.83
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.92POINTS A GAME1.17+0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.42-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.213LEAGUE GAMES12
Real Potosi: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
REAL POTOSI 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
REAL POTOSI OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO OR DRAW
39%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
REAL POTOSIxINDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.200.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Real Potosi have scored in 90% of their games.
Independiente Petrolero have scored in 70% of their games.
Real Potosi kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Independiente Petrolero kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards