Match details. Liga Nacional, Regular Season - 17. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 03:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos.
Form. CD Marquense have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. In this competition CD Marquense have gone L W D D W W. CD Guastatoya have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition CD Guastatoya have gone L D D L W W.
The numbers. CD Marquense score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Marquense average 5.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CD Guastatoya score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Guastatoya average 1.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Marquense have won two, drawn three and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Marquense won one, one was drawn and CD Guastatoya won two. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished CD Marquense 2-1 CD Guastatoya.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 18% against the records' 41%.
The read. No firm call: CD Guastatoya are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. CD Guastatoya are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Guastatoya. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 74% on the records (CD Marquense: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; CD Guastatoya: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: CD Marquense Over 0.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Guastatoya or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Marquense 1-1 CD Guastatoya (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).