Match details. Oberliga Niedersachsen, Niedersachsen - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. SC Spelle-Venhaus have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W L W. TUS Bersenbruck have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. SC Spelle-Venhaus score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. TUS Bersenbruck score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. TUS Bersenbruck's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. SC Spelle-Venhaus to win. An open game. SC Spelle-Venhaus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Spelle-Venhaus. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.30, rated 77% (SC Spelle-Venhaus: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10; TUS Bersenbruck: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: SC Spelle-Venhaus 2-1 TUS Bersenbruck (8% chance).
The agreed story. SC Spelle-Venhaus or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).