INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

BARBAR

21:00Tue 3 Nov

AST

Barcelona vs Aston Villa

CLASS A

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THE BETBANKER · 2-ODDS · 3-ODDS · 5-ODDS…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

BARv

Over 2.5 Goals

Barcelona v Aston Villa

International Clubs -… · 21:00

1.18odds

85%book

+6edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona. The referee is Davide Massa.

What's at stake. Barcelona are 8th on 6 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Arsenal, level on points with Como. A win would take them above Arsenal. Aston Villa are 2nd on 9 points after 3 games, level on points with Paris Saint Germain, level on points with Liverpool. A win would take them above Paris Saint Germain.

Team news. Barcelona are without R. Bardghji (knee injury), A. Christensen (muscle injury), X. Espart (ankle injury), E. Garcia (muscle injury), J. Kounde (ankle injury), D. Olmo (groin injury). Aston Villa are without M. Cisse (off the roster), B. Madjo (off the roster), A. Onana (knee injury), M. Ruggeri (muscle injury), A. Wan-Bissaka (muscle injury), M. Cisse (off the roster).

Form. Barcelona have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. Aston Villa have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.

The numbers. Barcelona score 4.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Barcelona average 19.2 shots (8.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 65% of the ball. Aston Villa score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Aston Villa average 14.8 shots (6.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: Barcelona are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Barcelona the likelier winners; Barcelona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Barcelona. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 91%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.18, 91% on the records (Barcelona: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Aston Villa: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Aston Villa Over 0.5 Goals at 1.44. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Barcelona are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Barcelona 3-2 Aston Villa (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Barcelona or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 9 of 10 (90%)97.7%

Barcelona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Barcelona: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.18

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 8 of 10 (80%)91.2%

Barcelona: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · each game weighed by who it was against

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANIN CODES

1.52

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 7 of 10 (70%)63.8%

Barcelona: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against

BARCELONA GOALS

Barcelona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 8 of 10 (80%)95.3%

Barcelona scored in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 91% · each game weighed by who it was against

ASTON VILLA GOALS

Aston Villa Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPLEANIN CODES

1.44

BAR 9 of 10 (90%) · AST 4 of 5 (80%)68.5%

Aston Villa scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Barcelona conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 91% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 9 of 10 (90%)95.3%

Barcelona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Barcelona Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AST 7 of 10 (70%)85.8%

Barcelona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.37

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 7 of 10 (70%)77.6%

Barcelona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

OTHER

Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & YesLEANIN CODES

1.44

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AST 6 of 10 (60%)61.5%

Barcelona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Aston Villa: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (Barcelona are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 3–2 5.9%

Barcelona goals →

Aston Villa goals ↓

0-00.6%

1-01%

2-02%

3-02%

4-02%

5-01%

0-10.8%

1-13%

2-15%

3-15%

4-14%

5-13%

0-21%

1-23%

2-26%

3-26%

4-25%

5-23%

0-30.8%

1-33%

2-34%

3-34%

4-34%

5-32%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-42%

3-43%

4-42%

5-41%

0-50.2%

1-50.7%

2-51%

3-51%

4-50.9%

5-50.6%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BARCELONAWWWWWWWLLW2.40 PPG

ASTON VILLALWWDWWWWLD2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BARCELONA HOMExASTON VILLA AWAY

4.00SCORED A GAME2.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.20CORNERS A GAME5.201.50CARDS A GAME1.902.40xG3.051.56xG AGAINST1.36

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.70POINTS A GAME1.33+3.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33+8.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.82.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.210LEAGUE GAMES9

Barcelona: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

BARCELONA 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 85/90

BARCELONA OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

ASTON VILLA OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BARCELONAxASTON VILLA

5GAMES53.60SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.204.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.08.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

BARCELONA

Out: R. Bardghji (Knee Injury), A. Christensen (Muscle Injury), X. Espart (Ankle Injury), E. Garcia (Muscle Injury), J. Kounde (Ankle Injury), D. Olmo (Groin Injury)

ASTON VILLA

Out: M. Cisse (Off the roster), B. Madjo (Off the roster), A. Onana (Knee Injury), M. Ruggeri (Muscle Injury), A. Wan-Bissaka (Muscle Injury), M. Cisse (Off the roster)

TRENDS

Barcelona have scored in 100% of their games.

Aston Villa have scored in 90% of their games.

Barcelona kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Aston Villa kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards